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AUD/USD: Can edge higher and test 0.6310 – UOB Group

While conditions remain overbought, AUD could edge higher and test 0.6310. A sustained rise above this level is unlikely. In the longer run, If AUD closes above 0.6310, it could trigger an advance to 0.6355, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

Above 0.6310, AUD can trigger an advance to 0.6355

24-HOUR VIEW: “We noted yesterday that ‘there has been an increase in momentum, and today, a break above 0.6265 will not be surprising.’ However, we indicated that ‘overbought conditions suggest any further advance is unlikely to reach the major resistance at 0.6310.’ Our view was not wrong, as AUD rose to 0.6296, closing at 0.6285 (+0.45%). While conditions remain overbought, AUD could edge higher and test 0.6310 today. A sustained rise above this level seems unlikely. On the downside, support levels are at 0.6265 and 0.6245.”

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “In our update from Tuesday (04 Feb, spot at 0.6215), we highlighted that the recent ‘buildup in downward momentum has largely faded.’ We expected AUD to ‘trade in a range, probably between 0.6080 and 0.6310.’ AUD edged higher to a high of 0.6296 yesterday (Wednesday). Upward momentum is beginning to build, and if AUD closes above 0.6310, it could trigger an advance to 0.6355. The chance of AUD closing above 0.6310 will increase in the coming days as long as 0.6200 (‘strong support’ level) is not breached.”

EUR/USD declines as US Dollar gains ground ahead of US NFP

EUR/USD corrects to near 1.0360 in Thursday’s European session.
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NZD/USD: Has a chance to edge above 0.5705 before levelling off – UOB Group

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) could edge above 0.5705 before levelling off; the next resistance at 0.5725 is unlikely to come under threat. In the longer run, there has been a tentative buildup in momentum; NZD could rise gradually to 0.5725, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
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