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USD/CNH: To trade in a range between 7.2650 and 7.3050 – UOB Group

US Dollar (USD) is expected to trade in a range between 7.2650 and 7.3050. In the longer run, outlook is mixed; USD could trade in a 7.2430/7.3580 range for now, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

Outlook for USD/CNH is mixed

24-HOUR VIEW: “After USD fell to a low of 7.2755 two days ago and then rebounded, we indicated yesterday that ‘despite the decline, there is no clear increase in momentum. We added, ‘instead of continuing to weaken, USD is more likely to trade in a lower range of 7.2680/7.3200.’ Our view of range trading was not wrong, even though USD traded in a narrower range than expected between 7.2669/7.2939 before closing largely unchanged at 7.2829 (-0.06%). The price action provides no fresh clues. Today, we expect USD to trade in a range between 7.2650 and 7.3050.”

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “We continue to hold the same view as yesterday (05 Feb, spot at 7.2915). As indicated, ‘the outlook for USD is mixed after the volatile price movements over the past couple of days.’ For now, it could trade in a broad range of 7.2430/7.3580.”

Gold hits another fresh record – ING

Gold rallied to a new all-time high amid trade war concerns that risk higher inflation and slower economic growth, spurring demand for safe-haven assets, ING’s commodity analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey notes.
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Markets price-in a BOJ policy rate of 0.75% by year-end – BBH

JPY is outperforming. Bank of Japan (BOJ) policy board member Naoki Tamura argued for a faster normalization cycle, BBH FX analysts note.
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