Nexit: Is the Netherlands next on the cards? - Rabobank

Research Team at Rabobank, suggests that on March 15th 2017, the lower house (Tweede Kamer) of the bicameral parliament of the Netherlands will be elected.

Key Quotes

“Recent polls show that at least four parties are necessary to form a governing coalition in the lower house. Political fragmentation in the upper house requires additional political cooperation.”

“A populist surge calling for a withdrawal from the European Union (EU) is checked by the coalition system in the Netherlands and balanced by the upper house.”

“A consultative referendum could be called by a majority in parliament but would be nonbinding. An actual withdrawal from the EU is only possible with a majority in both the lower and upper house. This is highly unlikely.”